Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004503 0.005072 0.005717 0.006508 0.007463 0.008591 0.010042
2026-02-08 0.003592 0.004272 0.005106 0.006227 0.007728 0.009724 0.012678
2026-02-15 0.003201 0.003952 0.004929 0.006332 0.008369 0.011356 0.016363
2026-02-22 0.002851 0.003614 0.004647 0.006205 0.008613 0.012429 0.019541
2026-03-01 0.002563 0.003317 0.004367 0.006015 0.008693 0.013230 0.022526
2026-03-08 0.002348 0.003091 0.004155 0.005882 0.008820 0.014117 0.026029
2026-03-15 0.002243 0.003009 0.004139 0.006045 0.009464 0.016104 0.032907
2026-03-22 0.002168 0.002962 0.004167 0.006278 0.010274 0.018668 0.042941
2026-03-29 0.002112 0.002935 0.004220 0.006558 0.011232 0.021898 0.057811
2026-04-05 0.001994 0.002802 0.004087 0.006482 0.011452 0.023474 0.068866
2026-04-12 0.001889 0.002682 0.003963 0.006407 0.011656 0.025093 0.082175
2026-04-19 0.001778 0.002543 0.003796 0.006228 0.011594 0.025967 0.093449
2026-04-26 0.001653 0.002380 0.003585 0.005961 0.011334 0.026352 0.104196
2026-05-03 0.001541 0.002234 0.003392 0.005712 0.011085 0.026736 0.116544
2026-05-10 0.001491 0.002186 0.003370 0.005805 0.011694 0.030243 0.161224
2026-05-17 0.001417 0.002092 0.003256 0.005692 0.011755 0.031893 0.197973
2026-05-24 0.001342 0.001992 0.003123 0.005524 0.011633 0.032818 0.232910
2026-05-31 0.001279 0.001910 0.003019 0.005406 0.011629 0.034262 0.285524
2026-06-07 0.001255 0.001893 0.003033 0.005550 0.012410 0.039670 0.466108
2026-06-14 0.001238 0.001888 0.003071 0.005757 0.013440 0.047310 0.916334
2026-06-21 0.001227 0.001891 0.003123 0.006005 0.014689 0.057768 2.431542
2026-06-28 0.001183 0.001833 0.003051 0.005938 0.014871 0.062015 4.566205
2026-07-05 0.001142 0.001779 0.002981 0.005872 0.015044 0.066527 10.346576